Tracking 4 Leads for a Trade in Salesforce.com: Bonus Idea

Here is your Bonus Idea with links to the full Top Ten:

Salesforce.com, $CRM, started higher at the beginning of 2017, crossing its 200 day SMA at the end of January. It paused and fell back to test support at the 50 day SMA in March and then rose again, to a intermediate peak at the end of May. It pulled back to a higher low and then retested that peak, establishing resistance and with another pullback to a higher low, an ascending triangle.

It broke above that triangle in August, and started toward the target at 103.25. Mid-September it came back to retest the break out and then reversed higher. It paused as it came back to the prior high and then Friday pushed through resistance to a new high. A Measured Move to the upside gives a target to 102 on this leg.

Momentum supports more upside price action. The RSI is rising and strong in the bullish zone. The MACD is also rising and positive. The Bollinger Bands® are also opening higher. There is no resistance over Friday’s high. Support may come at 97.50 and 95.40 followed by 92. Short interest is low at 2.4%. The company is expected to report earnings next November 15th.

The weekly options chain for this week show most open interest on the call side and it is spread from 95 to 104. The November monthly chain, the first covering the earnings report, also shows the majority of the open interest on the call side. It is biggest at the 97.50 strike and then the 100 strike then 95. The at-the-money straddle is pricing in a $4.50 move by November expiry. This bodes well for more upside.

Salesforce.com, Ticker: $CRM

Trade Idea 1: Buy the stock now (over 97.50) with a stop at 95.25.

Trade Idea 2: Buy the stock now (over 97.50) and add a November 97.5/92.5 Put Spread ($1.30) and selling December 105 Calls (90 cents) to fund most of the cost of protection.

Trade Idea 3: Buy the November 10 Expiry 96.5/99 bull Risk Reversal ($1.00).

Trade Idea 4: Buy the November 10 Expiry/November 100 Call Calendar (69 cents) and sell the November 10 Expiry 96 Put (50 cents) to fund it.

Premium Content
The Best

The Rest Premium

Free Content
The Rest

If you like what you see sign up for more ideas and deeper analysis using the Get Premium button above.

After reviewing over 1,000 charts, I have found some good setups for the week. These were selected and should be viewed in the context of the broad Market Macro picture reviewed Friday which with October Options Expiration in the rearview mirror saw equities have pushed through the first 20 days of October and are looking very strong.

Elsewhere look for Gold to continue lower in the short run while Crude Oil slowly grinds higher. The US Dollar Index looks to continue consolidation with a possible reversal building while US Treasuries are heading lower.

The Shanghai Composite looks to mark time in the slow uptrend while Emerging Markets pause and possibly retest the recent breakout. Volatility looks to remain very low keeping the bias higher for the equity index ETF’s SPY, IWM and QQQ. Their charts agree with the only caution a possible pause in the QQQ, perhaps a rotation back to the IWM again. Use this information as you prepare for the coming week and trad’em well.

If you like what you see above sign up for deeper analysis and trading strategy by using the Get Premium button above. As always you can see details of individual charts and more on my StockTwits page.

The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.

blog comments powered by Disqus
Dragonfly Caps Blog