Top Trade Ideas for the Week of September 9, 2013: Bonus Idea
- Posted by Greg Harmon
- on September 9th, 2013
Here is your Bonus Idea with links to the full Top Ten:
JP Morgan, $JPM, completed a bearish Shark Harmonic and retraced the full move before bouncing. Now back at the 100 day Simple Moving Average (SMA) it has support for more upside from a rising Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (MACD) that has crossed positive. It would be more solid if the RSI was over 50 though. There is resistance higher at 53 and 54.15 followed by 54.85 and 55.75 before 56.93. Support lower comes at 51.60 and 50.10 followed by 48.80 and 47.50 before 46.
Trade Idea 1: Buy the stock on a move over 52.80 with a stop at 51.70.
Trade Idea 2: Buy the September 52.50 Calls (offered at 88 cents) on the same trigger.
Trade Idea 3: Buy the September 50/52.5 bull Risk Reversal (70 cents).
Trade Idea 4: Buy the October 50/55 bull Risk Reversal (27 cent credit).
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After reviewing over 1,000 charts, I have found some good setups for the week. These were selected and should be viewed in the context of the broad Market Macro picture reviewed Saturday which, back to a full week after the holidays sees Gold looking to continue lower in the short term uptrend while Crude Oil marches higher. The US Dollar Index is biased higher in the long consolidation while US Treasuries are poised to continue lower. The Shanghai Composite looks to continue higher while Emerging Markets join it after a strong reversal. Volatility looks to remain subdued keeping the bias higher for the equity index ETF’s SPY, IWM and QQQ. The charts themselves show that the QQQ is very strong looking for new highs while the IWM is next and the SPY the weakest of the bunch. Use this information as you prepare for the coming week and trad’em well.
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The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.
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Gregory W. Harmon CMT, CFA, has traded since 1986 and held senior positions including Head of Global Trading, Head of Product Development, Head of Strategy and Director of Equity. (More)

