Show Me the CarMax
- Posted by Greg Harmon
- on March 31st, 2011
CarMax (ticker:$KMX) just reported earnings and beat street estimates. But the price action on the chart seems to have anticipated this beat. It had been in a descending triangle, with a base at 31.40, from mid February and broke out above that on Tuesday, driving through and finishing above both the 100 day and 50 day Simple Moving Averages (SMA’s). At the same time the Relative Strength Index (RSI) turned sharply higher and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator crossed bullishly positive.
Now that it has beat, the path higher gets another cheerleader in its camp. The next level of resistance comes at previous resistance of 36 from mid December and earlier in March. Followed by the previous peak at 37 February 18th. If it can get through those levels then the target for the break out of the triangle is next at 38.75. Getting long the stock with a stop at the 50 SMA at 33.91 (roughly 2%) gives a reward to risk ratio of 6:1 with a target gain of about 12% if you can get in at yesterday’s closing level. Maybe enough to buy a used car from them.
Good luck and trade’m well.
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Gregory W. Harmon CMT, CFA, has traded since 1986 and held senior positions including Head of Global Trading, Head of Product Development, Head of Strategy and Director of Equity. (More)
