The March Out Of Gold and Into Equities Continues
- Posted by Greg Harmon
- on November 20th, 2013
Two weeks ago we looked at the ratio of the S&P 500 ($SPY) to Gold ($GC_F, $GLD) and saw that potential for a continuation of the flow in this. After a brief the consolidation the break of the ascending triangle is playing out, and it is moving toward the target of 0.163 from the break out level of 0.1345, a 21% move. But that is only part of the story. If you step back from the tight picture examined then and look at the broader picture, below, you will notice that the triangle came in the midst of an uptrend. This brings yet another target higher for the ratio considering the run from 0.080 to 0.130 into
the triangle. Looking at the AB=CD pattern targets a move higher in the ratio to 0.165. Those of you that follow my work will understand that this is exciting to me. There are two separate technical analysis methods that both result in a similar target for the ratio of the S&P 500 to Gold. As a reminder this could occur as a move to 2125 in the S&P 500 or 1080 in Gold, or some piece of that for each. Keep selling that Gold for Equities.
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Gregory W. Harmon CMT, CFA, has traded since 1986 and held senior positions including Head of Global Trading, Head of Product Development, Head of Strategy and Director of Equity. (More)
