And a little child shall lead them….
- Posted by Greg Harmon
- on February 12th, 2019

Equity markets have had a tremendous move higher off of the lows established on Christmas Eve. They have retraced almost all of the December drop and last week took a pause as they reached their 100 day SMA’s. All of the major market indexes held above their 20 day SMA during the pause and all look to be headed higher Tuesday.
One, the Russell 2000, looks ready to take the lead now. The small cap index looks to open above its early February high Tuesday morning, the first to do so. Perhaps it is time for the ‘small child’ to lead them all higher.

The chart above shows the Russell 2000 ETF, $IWM, price action over the last 9 months. The price remains below the November and December highs, when it was consolidating the initial move down, but the momentum is holding strong for more upside. The RSI is running just under overbought and the MACD is avoiding a cross down.
The Bollinger BandsĀ® are also pointing higher. The child is not back to safety yet though. The 200 day SMA remains overhead and it is yet to make a major higher high. Getting over the December high on this next leg would be a major plus on the road to recovery.
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The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.
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Gregory W. Harmon CMT, CFA, has traded since 1986 and held senior positions including Head of Global Trading, Head of Product Development, Head of Strategy and Director of Equity. (More)