Crude Oil asking for a retest
- Posted by Greg Harmon
- on February 15th, 2019

Yesterday I administered my first exam of the semester, in a class called Money and Banking. There are about 60 students enrolled and I collected 57 exams. So over the next few days I will find out if the other 3 have dropped the class or if they ask for a make up exam, a retest. It may sound crazy, but last semester I had a student just not show up or ask for a make up, so I am gonna be proactive.
The situation happens in the market all the time. And it is happening with Crude Oil now. Crude Oil has been rising since a Christmas Eve bottom. It stalled sooner than equities though, pausing at the beginning of February and then pulling back. But over this week it has been rising back to retest the prior resistance area. It is looking for a make up exam on whether it can make a higher high.

This time it is not my decision whether to allow a retest. All of us collectively decide. The price action suggests a positive response at this point. The RSI is rising off of the mid line with the MACD about to cross up and positive. The Bollinger Bands® are squeezed in which is often a precursor to a big move. Perhaps resolution one way or the other is coming very soon. Look for a move over 56 to confirm a successful move to the upside with more to follow.
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Gregory W. Harmon CMT, CFA, has traded since 1986 and held senior positions including Head of Global Trading, Head of Product Development, Head of Strategy and Director of Equity. (More)