Maxxinista Earnings Trade – TJ Maxx
- Posted by Greg Harmon
- on May 14th, 2012
TJX Corporation, $TJX, parent company to the TJ Maxx stores reports earnings in the morning. Are you ready to become a Maxxinista?
TJX Corporation, $TJX, has run higher out of a summer basing but recently suffered a set back. Now below the 20 day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) that is trending lower with a Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator that is negative and falling. All looks lower, and the Bollinger bands are opening for the fall. Support lower is found at 40 and 38.65 followed by 37.85 and 37. Resistance is found at 41.30 and 42 followed by the previous high at 42.64. The reaction to the last 6 earnings reports has been a move of about 1.8% on average or $0.75 making for an expected range of 39.45 to 40.95. The at-the money Straddles imply a larger move of $1.85 by May Expiry, with good liquidity in the May 40 and 37.5 Puts and the May 42.5 Calls.
Trade Idea 1: Buy the May 40/37.5 Put Spread for $0.65.
Gives a 3.8:1 reward to risk ratio
Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 40/37.5 1×2 Ratio Put Spread for $0.45.
Buying the May 40 Put and selling 2 May 37.5 Puts improves the reward to risk ratio to 5.55:1. If the stock closes under 37.5 on Friday you will own it with a 35 basis.
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Gregory W. Harmon CMT, CFA, has traded since 1986 and held senior positions including Head of Global Trading, Head of Product Development, Head of Strategy and Director of Equity. (More)
