Building Skyscapers with Long Antennas
- Posted by Greg Harmon
- on March 12th, 2012
The home builders have been a hot sector running higher despite weak home prices. Apparently they have been building skyscapers and not single family homes. Oh I do not mean physical buildings, but building the charts of their stock prices. Where building actual skyscrapers can be lucrative business, when they show up in a chart it is usually not good news. Take a look at these three.
D R Horton, $DHI, has been moving higher off of the bottom in October but the latest leg up is the one that is flashing caution. After a large 3 day run Monday’s candle had a long antenna pointing higher, or upper shadow. This is a sign of the move running out of momentum. It could correct sideways but is also possible to finish building the skyscraper by retracing lower. A move below Mondays low on Tuesday would confirm a trade opportunity lower.
Lennar, $LEN, has also been rising since October and has made 2 consecutive skyscraper antenna, also referred to as Topping Tails, this also looks ready to pullback on a move under Mondays low at 25.35.
Toll Brothers, $TOL, shows the same rise since October but more of a leveling through February before it pulled back last week. Now two consecutive upper shadows presents the same caution, even if not well above the price channel.
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The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.
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Gregory W. Harmon CMT, CFA, has traded since 1986 and held senior positions including Head of Global Trading, Head of Product Development, Head of Strategy and Director of Equity. (More)


