The Next Rotation

• Posted by Greg Harmon
• on November 17th, 2016

Two nights ago we experienced a Super Moon. The full Moon at a peak perigee flew over and everyone snapped pics to share. But this is passing now as the Moon rotates in its orbit around the Earth and the Earth about the Sun. All of you astrophysicists can look forward to calculating when the next one will happen as we put our camera setting back to full light.

In the market we have our own rotation going on. The chart below shows it happening before your eyes. get your cameras ready. Since April, the Nasdaq 100 ETF ($QQQ) and the Russell 200 ETF ($IWM) moved together until mid October. Six months of the ratio between the two flat lining. Then into late October the ratio moved lower, in favor of the Nasdaq.

But that all changed following the election. That is when a major shift from the Nasdaq 100 and into the Russell 2000 started. The ratio soared higher to the prior consolidation zone and kept going. In just 4 days it had moved over 10%. The move was so fast that the ratio jumped out of its Bollinger Bands® and the momentum indicator RSI moved to overbought.

The ratio has settled the last two days and in fact may be at a point where it reverses again. Tuesday printed an inside candle, a Harami, often a reversal candle. And Wednesday it was confirmed with a move lower. Will it settle again now that the ratio is back within its Bollinger Band? Or will the rotation back towards the Nasdaq continue? Keep an eye on this ratio to tell.

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