Loading Guns Ahead of the State of the Union Address
- Posted by Greg Harmon
- on February 11th, 2013
There have been horrible tragedies involving guns over the years, the most recent in Newtown Connecticut. These inevitably lead to a call for gun control. And it is expected that the President will make another such a call in the State of the Union Address Tuesday night. Common wisdom is that true gun control would be bad for the gun stocks. So what are they doing post Newtown and leading into the State of the Union? Not what you might think.
Sturm Ruger, $RGR
Sturm Ruger, $RGR, is back testing all time highs at 55.60. A strong uptrend, that is seeing a pullback Monday touch the 20 day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also pulling back after touching the technically over bought level at 70. Is it a true Double Top, or just a healthy pullback in the uptrend that has become extended from the SMA’s? Of course if it goes down again tomorrow the speech will be put forth as an excuse, but the technicals suggest a pullback and hold at 50 would be a good entry or on a move to new highs.
Smith & Wesson, $SWHC
Smith & Wesson, $SWHC, is also in an uptrend but in a bit of a healthier spot at the moment. This could turn into a bear flag and head lower but for the moment it creeps higher in a step fashion with 9.25 as resistance overhead in an ascending triangle pattern. Should it break over the top it has a target of 10.25. The RSI is trending higher and the MACD is positive, both supporting more upside. Use a breakout as a long entry.
Join the Dragonfly Capital Views Premium Membership
Sign up here to get deeper analysis and nearly 50 trade ideas every week.
If you like what you see above sign up for deeper analysis and trading strategy by using the Get Premium button above. As always you can see details of individual charts and more on my StockTwits page.
The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.blog comments powered by Disqus
Gregory W. Harmon CMT, CFA, has traded in the Securities markets since 1986. He has held senior positions including Head of Global Trading, Head of Product Development, Head of Strategy and Director of Equity. (More)
- Top Trade Ideas for the Week of April 21, 2014: The Rest
- What You Liked Most on Dragonfly Capital This Week
- Top Trade Ideas for the Week of April 21, 2014: The Rest Premium
- Top Trade Ideas for the Week of April 21, 2014: The Best
- Cleveland’s Best Linkfest!
- SPY Trends and Influencers April 18, 2014
- Macro Week in Review/Preview April 18, 2014
- Pontius Pilate Was the First Behavioralist
- Dragonfly Capital Views Performance Through April 2014 Expiry
- Currency Discussion on FX Street